Numeracy, frequency, and Bayesian reasoning

Previous research has demonstrated that Bayesian reasoning performance is improved if uncertainty information is presented as natural frequencies rather than single-event probabilities. A questionnaire study of 342 college students replicated this effect but also found that the performance-boosting...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gretchen B. Chapman, Jingjing Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2009-02-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/8708/jdm8708.pdf