Conditional Variance Forecasts for Long-Term Stock Returns

In this paper, we apply machine learning to forecast the conditional variance of long-term stock returns measured in excess of different benchmarks, considering the short- and long-term interest rate, the earnings-by-price ratio, and the inflation rate. In particular, we apply in a two-step procedur...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Enno Mammen, Jens Perch Nielsen, Michael Scholz, Stefan Sperlich
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-11-01
Series:Risks
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/7/4/113