Verification of Ensemble Track Forecasts of Tropical Cyclones During 2014
ABSTRACT: The track forecasts of five ensemble prediction systems (JMA-WEPS, CMA-GEFS, ECMWF-EPS, NCEP-GEFS and MSC-CENS, respectively) in 2014 are evaluated in this paper. First, on the assumption of bivariate normal distribution, a probability ellipse based on ensemble spread is proposed to repres...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
2015-05-01
|
| Series: | Tropical Cyclone Research and Review |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603218301292 |