Forest Insect Outbreak Dynamics: Fractal Properties, Viscous Fingers, and Holographic Principle

During the growth of a forest insect outbreak epicenter, there are processes that involve the formation and expansion of the primary epicenter of forest damage, as well as secondary epicenters—both connected and unconnected to the primary one. This study characterizes outbreak epicenters in terms of...

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Main Authors: Vladislav Soukhovolsky, Anton Kovalev, Olga Tarasova, Yulia Ivanova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-12-01
Series:Forests
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/14/12/2459
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author Vladislav Soukhovolsky
Anton Kovalev
Olga Tarasova
Yulia Ivanova
author_facet Vladislav Soukhovolsky
Anton Kovalev
Olga Tarasova
Yulia Ivanova
author_sort Vladislav Soukhovolsky
collection DOAJ
description During the growth of a forest insect outbreak epicenter, there are processes that involve the formation and expansion of the primary epicenter of forest damage, as well as secondary epicenters—both connected and unconnected to the primary one. This study characterizes outbreak epicenters in terms of their fractal dimensions and “viscous finger” parameters at the epicenter boundary, highlighting their significance in the context of forest insect management. Local outbreak epicenters were found to be characterized by fractal dimension D = 1.4–1.5, and the boundaries of the epicenters were described using the “viscous finger” model. Proposed models were constructed and validated using remote sensing data obtained from MODIS and Sentinel-2 satellites at epicenter sites and boundaries during the outbreak of the Siberian silk moth <i>Dendrolimus sibiricus</i> Tschetverikov from 2014 to 2020 in the Krasnoyarsk region of Russia. The study revealed that the frequency of the mode spectrum of one-stage spatial series of “viscous fingers” corresponds with the data on the development of the outbreak foci area.
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spelling doaj.art-0c027cc113474ddc9cc88b61b45bec2b2023-12-22T14:09:50ZengMDPI AGForests1999-49072023-12-011412245910.3390/f14122459Forest Insect Outbreak Dynamics: Fractal Properties, Viscous Fingers, and Holographic PrincipleVladislav Soukhovolsky0Anton Kovalev1Olga Tarasova2Yulia Ivanova3V.N. Sukachev Institute of Forest SB RAS, 660036 Krasnoyarsk, RussiaKrasnoyarsk Scientific Center SB RAS, 660036 Krasnoyarsk, RussiaDepartment of Ecology and Nature Management, Siberian Federal University, 660041 Krasnoyarsk, RussiaInstitute of Biophysics SB RAS, 660036 Krasnoyarsk, RussiaDuring the growth of a forest insect outbreak epicenter, there are processes that involve the formation and expansion of the primary epicenter of forest damage, as well as secondary epicenters—both connected and unconnected to the primary one. This study characterizes outbreak epicenters in terms of their fractal dimensions and “viscous finger” parameters at the epicenter boundary, highlighting their significance in the context of forest insect management. Local outbreak epicenters were found to be characterized by fractal dimension D = 1.4–1.5, and the boundaries of the epicenters were described using the “viscous finger” model. Proposed models were constructed and validated using remote sensing data obtained from MODIS and Sentinel-2 satellites at epicenter sites and boundaries during the outbreak of the Siberian silk moth <i>Dendrolimus sibiricus</i> Tschetverikov from 2014 to 2020 in the Krasnoyarsk region of Russia. The study revealed that the frequency of the mode spectrum of one-stage spatial series of “viscous fingers” corresponds with the data on the development of the outbreak foci area.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/14/12/2459forest standspestspopulation dynamicsoutbreaksmodelingfractals
spellingShingle Vladislav Soukhovolsky
Anton Kovalev
Olga Tarasova
Yulia Ivanova
Forest Insect Outbreak Dynamics: Fractal Properties, Viscous Fingers, and Holographic Principle
Forests
forest stands
pests
population dynamics
outbreaks
modeling
fractals
title Forest Insect Outbreak Dynamics: Fractal Properties, Viscous Fingers, and Holographic Principle
title_full Forest Insect Outbreak Dynamics: Fractal Properties, Viscous Fingers, and Holographic Principle
title_fullStr Forest Insect Outbreak Dynamics: Fractal Properties, Viscous Fingers, and Holographic Principle
title_full_unstemmed Forest Insect Outbreak Dynamics: Fractal Properties, Viscous Fingers, and Holographic Principle
title_short Forest Insect Outbreak Dynamics: Fractal Properties, Viscous Fingers, and Holographic Principle
title_sort forest insect outbreak dynamics fractal properties viscous fingers and holographic principle
topic forest stands
pests
population dynamics
outbreaks
modeling
fractals
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4907/14/12/2459
work_keys_str_mv AT vladislavsoukhovolsky forestinsectoutbreakdynamicsfractalpropertiesviscousfingersandholographicprinciple
AT antonkovalev forestinsectoutbreakdynamicsfractalpropertiesviscousfingersandholographicprinciple
AT olgatarasova forestinsectoutbreakdynamicsfractalpropertiesviscousfingersandholographicprinciple
AT yuliaivanova forestinsectoutbreakdynamicsfractalpropertiesviscousfingersandholographicprinciple