An Experimental Analysis of Asymmetric Power in Conflict Bargaining

Demands and concessions in a multi-stage bargaining process are shaped by the probabilities that each side will prevail in an impasse. Standard game-theoretic predictions are quite sharp: demands are pushed to the precipice with nothing left on the table, but there is no conflict regardless of the d...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: William Reed, Timothy Nordstrom, Charles A. Holt, David Clark, Katri Sieberg
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2013-08-01
Series:Games
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4336/4/3/375
_version_ 1818379813732220928
author William Reed
Timothy Nordstrom
Charles A. Holt
David Clark
Katri Sieberg
author_facet William Reed
Timothy Nordstrom
Charles A. Holt
David Clark
Katri Sieberg
author_sort William Reed
collection DOAJ
description Demands and concessions in a multi-stage bargaining process are shaped by the probabilities that each side will prevail in an impasse. Standard game-theoretic predictions are quite sharp: demands are pushed to the precipice with nothing left on the table, but there is no conflict regardless of the degree of power asymmetry. Indeed, there is no delay in reaching an agreement that incorporates the (unrealized) costs of delay and conflict. A laboratory experiment has been used to investigate the effects of power asymmetries on conflict rates in a two-stage bargaining game that is (if necessary) followed by conflict with a random outcome. Observed demands at each stage are significantly correlated with power, as measured by the probability of winning in the event of disagreement. Demand patterns, however, are flatter than theoretical predictions, and conflict occurs in a significant proportion of the interactions, regardless of the degree of the power asymmetry. To address these deviations from the standard game-theoretic predictions, we also estimated a logit quantal response model, which generated the qualitative patterns that are observed in the data. This one-parameter generalization of the Nash equilibrium permits a deconstruction of the strategic incentives that cause demands to be less responsive to power asymmetries than Nash predictions.
first_indexed 2024-12-14T02:08:45Z
format Article
id doaj.art-1302870f16b04fff8a32d6d1f34d9369
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2073-4336
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-14T02:08:45Z
publishDate 2013-08-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Games
spelling doaj.art-1302870f16b04fff8a32d6d1f34d93692022-12-21T23:20:48ZengMDPI AGGames2073-43362013-08-014337539710.3390/g4030375An Experimental Analysis of Asymmetric Power in Conflict BargainingWilliam ReedTimothy NordstromCharles A. HoltDavid ClarkKatri SiebergDemands and concessions in a multi-stage bargaining process are shaped by the probabilities that each side will prevail in an impasse. Standard game-theoretic predictions are quite sharp: demands are pushed to the precipice with nothing left on the table, but there is no conflict regardless of the degree of power asymmetry. Indeed, there is no delay in reaching an agreement that incorporates the (unrealized) costs of delay and conflict. A laboratory experiment has been used to investigate the effects of power asymmetries on conflict rates in a two-stage bargaining game that is (if necessary) followed by conflict with a random outcome. Observed demands at each stage are significantly correlated with power, as measured by the probability of winning in the event of disagreement. Demand patterns, however, are flatter than theoretical predictions, and conflict occurs in a significant proportion of the interactions, regardless of the degree of the power asymmetry. To address these deviations from the standard game-theoretic predictions, we also estimated a logit quantal response model, which generated the qualitative patterns that are observed in the data. This one-parameter generalization of the Nash equilibrium permits a deconstruction of the strategic incentives that cause demands to be less responsive to power asymmetries than Nash predictions.http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4336/4/3/375bargainingconflictquantal response equilibriumlaboratory experiments
spellingShingle William Reed
Timothy Nordstrom
Charles A. Holt
David Clark
Katri Sieberg
An Experimental Analysis of Asymmetric Power in Conflict Bargaining
Games
bargaining
conflict
quantal response equilibrium
laboratory experiments
title An Experimental Analysis of Asymmetric Power in Conflict Bargaining
title_full An Experimental Analysis of Asymmetric Power in Conflict Bargaining
title_fullStr An Experimental Analysis of Asymmetric Power in Conflict Bargaining
title_full_unstemmed An Experimental Analysis of Asymmetric Power in Conflict Bargaining
title_short An Experimental Analysis of Asymmetric Power in Conflict Bargaining
title_sort experimental analysis of asymmetric power in conflict bargaining
topic bargaining
conflict
quantal response equilibrium
laboratory experiments
url http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4336/4/3/375
work_keys_str_mv AT williamreed anexperimentalanalysisofasymmetricpowerinconflictbargaining
AT timothynordstrom anexperimentalanalysisofasymmetricpowerinconflictbargaining
AT charlesaholt anexperimentalanalysisofasymmetricpowerinconflictbargaining
AT davidclark anexperimentalanalysisofasymmetricpowerinconflictbargaining
AT katrisieberg anexperimentalanalysisofasymmetricpowerinconflictbargaining
AT williamreed experimentalanalysisofasymmetricpowerinconflictbargaining
AT timothynordstrom experimentalanalysisofasymmetricpowerinconflictbargaining
AT charlesaholt experimentalanalysisofasymmetricpowerinconflictbargaining
AT davidclark experimentalanalysisofasymmetricpowerinconflictbargaining
AT katrisieberg experimentalanalysisofasymmetricpowerinconflictbargaining