Gambler's fallacy, hot hand belief, and the time of patterns

The gambler's fallacy and the hot hand belief have been classified as two exemplars of human misperceptions of random sequential events. This article examines the times of pattern occurrences where a fair or biased coin is tossed repeatedly. We demonstrate that, due to different pattern composi...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hongbin Wang, Yanlong Sun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2010-04-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/10/91117/jdm91117.pdf