The Impact of Economic Growth and Urbanisation on Environmental Degradation in the Baltic States: An Extended Kaya Identity

The main aim of this article is to empirically examine the impact of economic growth and urbanisation on environmental degradation, as well as the existence of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) in three Baltic States (Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia) from 2000 to 2020. The main Kaya identity and...

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Main Authors: Daiva Makutėnienė, Algirdas Justinas Staugaitis, Valdemaras Makutėnas, Gunta Grīnberga-Zālīte
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-09-01
Series:Agriculture
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/13/9/1844
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author Daiva Makutėnienė
Algirdas Justinas Staugaitis
Valdemaras Makutėnas
Gunta Grīnberga-Zālīte
author_facet Daiva Makutėnienė
Algirdas Justinas Staugaitis
Valdemaras Makutėnas
Gunta Grīnberga-Zālīte
author_sort Daiva Makutėnienė
collection DOAJ
description The main aim of this article is to empirically examine the impact of economic growth and urbanisation on environmental degradation, as well as the existence of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) in three Baltic States (Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia) from 2000 to 2020. The main Kaya identity and the extended urban Kaya identity models are applied within the analysis. The multiple regression analysis made it possible to assess the influence of urbanisation and other factors on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the studied countries, as well as test the hypothesis of the inverted U-shaped EKC. The main finding reveals that GDP per capita growth has the largest and increasing effect on GHG emissions in all three countries. It was also found that changes in population in urban areas in Lithuania and Latvia reduced the amount of GHG until 2020, while in Estonia, the growing urban population greatly contributed to increasing GHG emissions. As a result, processes related to urbanisation have not yet had a significant impact on environmental quality in Lithuania and Latvia. Meanwhile, in Estonia, this is a significant factor that policymakers need to focus on when solving environmental pollution reduction problems. The hypothesis of the EKC was mostly supported when analysing GHG emissions in Lithuania and Estonia and using GDP per capita as an indicator for economic growth. On the other hand, it was found that the impact of the urbanisation rate on GHG emissions is not curved, yet there is some evidence that in Estonia, a growing urbanisation rate is related to diminishing GHG emissions, according to the multiple regression analysis. The results of the study showed that policymakers should consider economic growth and, especially in Estonia, urbanisation when solving problems related to environmental degradation.
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spelling doaj.art-191b778ea63d40aa919882eb82f005a62023-11-19T09:08:06ZengMDPI AGAgriculture2077-04722023-09-01139184410.3390/agriculture13091844The Impact of Economic Growth and Urbanisation on Environmental Degradation in the Baltic States: An Extended Kaya IdentityDaiva Makutėnienė0Algirdas Justinas Staugaitis1Valdemaras Makutėnas2Gunta Grīnberga-Zālīte3Department of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Faculty of Bioeconomy Development, Agriculture Academy, Vytautas Magnus University, 53361 Kaunas, LithuaniaDepartment of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Faculty of Bioeconomy Development, Agriculture Academy, Vytautas Magnus University, 53361 Kaunas, LithuaniaDepartment of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Faculty of Bioeconomy Development, Agriculture Academy, Vytautas Magnus University, 53361 Kaunas, LithuaniaInstitute of Economics and Regional Development, Latvia University of Life Sciences and Technologies, 3001 Jelgava, LatviaThe main aim of this article is to empirically examine the impact of economic growth and urbanisation on environmental degradation, as well as the existence of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) in three Baltic States (Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia) from 2000 to 2020. The main Kaya identity and the extended urban Kaya identity models are applied within the analysis. The multiple regression analysis made it possible to assess the influence of urbanisation and other factors on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the studied countries, as well as test the hypothesis of the inverted U-shaped EKC. The main finding reveals that GDP per capita growth has the largest and increasing effect on GHG emissions in all three countries. It was also found that changes in population in urban areas in Lithuania and Latvia reduced the amount of GHG until 2020, while in Estonia, the growing urban population greatly contributed to increasing GHG emissions. As a result, processes related to urbanisation have not yet had a significant impact on environmental quality in Lithuania and Latvia. Meanwhile, in Estonia, this is a significant factor that policymakers need to focus on when solving environmental pollution reduction problems. The hypothesis of the EKC was mostly supported when analysing GHG emissions in Lithuania and Estonia and using GDP per capita as an indicator for economic growth. On the other hand, it was found that the impact of the urbanisation rate on GHG emissions is not curved, yet there is some evidence that in Estonia, a growing urbanisation rate is related to diminishing GHG emissions, according to the multiple regression analysis. The results of the study showed that policymakers should consider economic growth and, especially in Estonia, urbanisation when solving problems related to environmental degradation.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/13/9/1844greenhouse gas emissionsurbanisationeconomic growthKaya identityenvironmental Kuznets curve
spellingShingle Daiva Makutėnienė
Algirdas Justinas Staugaitis
Valdemaras Makutėnas
Gunta Grīnberga-Zālīte
The Impact of Economic Growth and Urbanisation on Environmental Degradation in the Baltic States: An Extended Kaya Identity
Agriculture
greenhouse gas emissions
urbanisation
economic growth
Kaya identity
environmental Kuznets curve
title The Impact of Economic Growth and Urbanisation on Environmental Degradation in the Baltic States: An Extended Kaya Identity
title_full The Impact of Economic Growth and Urbanisation on Environmental Degradation in the Baltic States: An Extended Kaya Identity
title_fullStr The Impact of Economic Growth and Urbanisation on Environmental Degradation in the Baltic States: An Extended Kaya Identity
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Economic Growth and Urbanisation on Environmental Degradation in the Baltic States: An Extended Kaya Identity
title_short The Impact of Economic Growth and Urbanisation on Environmental Degradation in the Baltic States: An Extended Kaya Identity
title_sort impact of economic growth and urbanisation on environmental degradation in the baltic states an extended kaya identity
topic greenhouse gas emissions
urbanisation
economic growth
Kaya identity
environmental Kuznets curve
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/13/9/1844
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