How generalizable is good judgment? A multi-task, multi-benchmark study

Good judgment is often gauged against two gold standards – coherence and correspondence. Judgments are coherent if they demonstrate consistency with the axioms of probability theory or propositional logic. Judgments are correspondent if they agree with ground truth. When gold standards are unavailab...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Barbara A. Mellers, Joshua D. Baker, Eva Chen, David R. Mandel, Philip E. Tetlock
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2017-07-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.sjdm.org/17/17408/jdm17408.pdf