A comparison of predictors of the error of weather forecasts
Three different potential predictors of forecast error - ensemble spread, mean errors of recent forecasts and the local gradient of the predicted field - were compared. The comparison was performed using the forecasts of 500hPa geopotential and 2-m temperature of the ECMWF ensemble prediction system...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2005-01-01
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| Series: | Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics |
| Online Access: | http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/12/1021/2005/npg-12-1021-2005.pdf |