Real-time forecasting of an epidemic using a discrete time stochastic model: a case study of pandemic influenza (H1N1-2009)

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Real-time forecasting of epidemics, especially those based on a likelihood-based approach, is understudied. This study aimed to develop a simple method that can be used for the real-time epidemic forecasting.</p> <p>Metho...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Nishiura Hiroshi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2011-02-01
Series:BioMedical Engineering OnLine
Online Access:http://www.biomedical-engineering-online.com/content/10/1/15