Calibrating ensemble reliability whilst preserving spatial structure
Ensemble forecasts aim to improve decision-making by predicting a set of possible outcomes. Ideally, these would provide probabilities which are both sharp and reliable. In practice, the models, data assimilation and ensemble perturbation systems are all imperfect, leading to deficiencies in the pre...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Stockholm University Press
2014-03-01
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| Series: | Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography |
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| Online Access: | http://www.tellusa.net/index.php/tellusa/article/download/22662/pdf_1 |