The retrospective gambler’s fallacy: Unlikely events, constructing the past, and multiple universes

The gambler’s fallacy (Tune, 1964) refers to the belief that a streak is more likely to end than chance would dictate. In three studies, participants exhibited a retrospective gambler’s fallacy (RGF) in which an event that seems rare appears to come from a longer sequence than an event that seems mo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Daniel M. Oppenheimer, Benoît Monin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2009-08-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500001170/type/journal_article