How long it took transit ridership to recover from disruptive events: A review into the recent history
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused an unprecedented decrease in transit ridership around the world. Some major cities in the United States have lost over 80% of their transit riders, and some transit agencies have been forced to reduce service and work with a skeleton crew at times. Although the futur...
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Elsevier
2023-01-01
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Series: | Journal of Public Transportation |
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Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1077291X23000127 |
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author | Yining Liu Jesus Osorio Yanfeng Ouyang |
author_facet | Yining Liu Jesus Osorio Yanfeng Ouyang |
author_sort | Yining Liu |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The COVID-19 pandemic has caused an unprecedented decrease in transit ridership around the world. Some major cities in the United States have lost over 80% of their transit riders, and some transit agencies have been forced to reduce service and work with a skeleton crew at times. Although the future of the COVID-19 pandemic and its long-term effect on transit systems are still unclear, much can be learned from previous disruptive events, such as terrorist attacks and epidemics, in the past 30 years, so as to draw qualitative and quantitative insights about the public reactions, ridership recovery periods, and transit agency responses during and after those events. The goal is to facilitate the understanding of the current COVID-19 pandemic and inform future decisions of transit agencies. This paper provides a historic review of the impacts of terrorist attacks such as the London and Madrid bombing, the Tokyo sarin gas, and the 9/11 attacks; and past epidemics and pandemics, such as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), H1N1 swine flu, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS), and Ebola. It was found that most of these reviewed incidents (except for the 9/11 attacks) did not impose prolonged post-event effects on transit ridership for more than one year. In addition, executive orders (e.g., school closures), transportation service levels (e.g., screening time for air travel and rail station closures), public fear, media reports, and reduced tourists were frequently mentioned as key factors that impacted transit ridership. The review also identified measures that could potentially help restore transit ridership, such as sanitizing vehicles and facilities, adjusting services, and launching promotions and advertisements. Finally, insights on the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic are drawn through comparisons with historical events. |
first_indexed | 2024-03-12T17:42:26Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-2cbc3490ec2643a192cf50846de5a53f |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2375-0901 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-03-12T17:42:26Z |
publishDate | 2023-01-01 |
publisher | Elsevier |
record_format | Article |
series | Journal of Public Transportation |
spelling | doaj.art-2cbc3490ec2643a192cf50846de5a53f2023-08-04T05:46:10ZengElsevierJournal of Public Transportation2375-09012023-01-0125100051How long it took transit ridership to recover from disruptive events: A review into the recent historyYining Liu0Jesus Osorio1Yanfeng Ouyang2Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL 61801, USADepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL 61801, USACorresponding author.; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL 61801, USAThe COVID-19 pandemic has caused an unprecedented decrease in transit ridership around the world. Some major cities in the United States have lost over 80% of their transit riders, and some transit agencies have been forced to reduce service and work with a skeleton crew at times. Although the future of the COVID-19 pandemic and its long-term effect on transit systems are still unclear, much can be learned from previous disruptive events, such as terrorist attacks and epidemics, in the past 30 years, so as to draw qualitative and quantitative insights about the public reactions, ridership recovery periods, and transit agency responses during and after those events. The goal is to facilitate the understanding of the current COVID-19 pandemic and inform future decisions of transit agencies. This paper provides a historic review of the impacts of terrorist attacks such as the London and Madrid bombing, the Tokyo sarin gas, and the 9/11 attacks; and past epidemics and pandemics, such as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), H1N1 swine flu, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS), and Ebola. It was found that most of these reviewed incidents (except for the 9/11 attacks) did not impose prolonged post-event effects on transit ridership for more than one year. In addition, executive orders (e.g., school closures), transportation service levels (e.g., screening time for air travel and rail station closures), public fear, media reports, and reduced tourists were frequently mentioned as key factors that impacted transit ridership. The review also identified measures that could potentially help restore transit ridership, such as sanitizing vehicles and facilities, adjusting services, and launching promotions and advertisements. Finally, insights on the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic are drawn through comparisons with historical events.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1077291X23000127EpidemicsPandemicsTerrorist attacksPublic transitRidershipRecovery |
spellingShingle | Yining Liu Jesus Osorio Yanfeng Ouyang How long it took transit ridership to recover from disruptive events: A review into the recent history Journal of Public Transportation Epidemics Pandemics Terrorist attacks Public transit Ridership Recovery |
title | How long it took transit ridership to recover from disruptive events: A review into the recent history |
title_full | How long it took transit ridership to recover from disruptive events: A review into the recent history |
title_fullStr | How long it took transit ridership to recover from disruptive events: A review into the recent history |
title_full_unstemmed | How long it took transit ridership to recover from disruptive events: A review into the recent history |
title_short | How long it took transit ridership to recover from disruptive events: A review into the recent history |
title_sort | how long it took transit ridership to recover from disruptive events a review into the recent history |
topic | Epidemics Pandemics Terrorist attacks Public transit Ridership Recovery |
url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1077291X23000127 |
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