Predictor-weighting strategies for probabilistic wind power forecasting with an analog ensemble

Predictor-weighting strategies for probabilistic wind power forecasting with an analog ensemble

Unlike deterministic forecasts, probabilistic predictions provide estimates of uncertainty, which is an additional value for decision-making. Previous studies have proposed the analog ensemble (AnEn), which is a technique to generate uncertainty information from a purely deterministic forecast. The...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Constantin Junk, Luca Delle Monache, Stefano Alessandrini, Guido Cervone, Lueder von Bremen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Borntraeger 2015-04-01
Series:Meteorologische Zeitschrift
Subjects:
energy meteorology
wind power forecasting
analog ensemble
uncertainty quantification
probabilistic verification
predictor-weighting strategies
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/metz/2015/0659

Internet

http://dx.doi.org/10.1127/metz/2015/0659

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