Skill prediction of local weather forecasts based on the ECMWF ensemble
Ensemble Prediction has become an essential part of numerical weather forecasting. In this paper we investigate the ability of ensemble forecasts to provide an a priori estimate of the expected forecast skill. Several quantities derived from the local ensemble distribution are investigated for a...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2001-01-01
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Series: | Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics |
Online Access: | http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/8/419/2001/npg-8-419-2001.pdf |