Skill prediction of local weather forecasts based on the ECMWF ensemble

Ensemble Prediction has become an essential part of numerical weather forecasting. In this paper we investigate the ability of ensemble forecasts to provide an a priori estimate of the expected forecast skill. Several quantities derived from the local ensemble distribution are investigated for a...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: C. Ziehmann
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2001-01-01
Series:Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Online Access:http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/8/419/2001/npg-8-419-2001.pdf

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