Improvement on Forecasting of Propagation of the COVID-19 Pandemic through Combining Oscillations in ARIMA Models

Daily data on COVID-19 infections and deaths tend to possess weekly oscillations. The purpose of this work is to forecast COVID-19 data with partially cyclical fluctuations. A partially periodic oscillating ARIMA model is suggested to enhance the predictive performance. The model, optimized for impr...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Eunju Hwang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-12-01
Series:Forecasting
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2571-9394/6/1/2