Improvement on Forecasting of Propagation of the COVID-19 Pandemic through Combining Oscillations in ARIMA Models
Daily data on COVID-19 infections and deaths tend to possess weekly oscillations. The purpose of this work is to forecast COVID-19 data with partially cyclical fluctuations. A partially periodic oscillating ARIMA model is suggested to enhance the predictive performance. The model, optimized for impr...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2023-12-01
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Series: | Forecasting |
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Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2571-9394/6/1/2 |