Modeling Growth, Containment and Decay of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Italy

A careful inspection of the cumulative curve of confirmed COVID-19 infections in Italy and in other hard-hit countries reveals three distinct phases: i) an initial exponential growth (unconstrained phase), ii) an algebraic, power-law growth (containment phase), and iii) a relatively slow decay. We p...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Francesco Capuano
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2020-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Physics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphy.2020.586180/full