Delayed Evacuation after a Disaster Because of Irrational Prediction of the Future Cumulative Precipitation Time Series under Asymmetry of Information

Delayed Evacuation after a Disaster Because of Irrational Prediction of the Future Cumulative Precipitation Time Series under Asymmetry of Information

This study investigated biased prediction of cumulative precipitation, using a variety of patterns of histories of cumulative precipitation, to explore how such biased prediction could delay evacuation or evacuation orders. The irrationality in predicting the future of cumulative precipitation was e...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Atsuo Murata, Toshihisa Doi, Rin Hasegawa, Waldemar Karwowski
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-12-01
Series:Symmetry
Subjects:
flooding of riverbanks
delayed evacuation
cumulative precipitation
asymmetry of information
prediction failure
anchoring and adjustment
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-8994/14/1/6

Internet

https://www.mdpi.com/2073-8994/14/1/6

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