Earthquake forecasting based on data assimilation: sequential Monte Carlo methods for renewal point processes

Data assimilation is routinely employed in meteorology, engineering and computer sciences to optimally combine noisy observations with prior model information for obtaining better estimates of a state, and thus better forecasts, than achieved by ignoring data uncertainties. Earthquake forecasting, t...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: M. J. Werner, K. Ide, D. Sornette
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2011-02-01
Series:Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Online Access:http://www.nonlin-processes-geophys.net/18/49/2011/npg-18-49-2011.pdf