Using inferred probabilities to measure the accuracy of imprecise forecasts
Research on forecasting is effectively limited to forecasts that are expressed with clarity; which is to say that the forecasted event must be sufficiently well-defined so that it can be clearly resolved whether or not the event occurred and forecasts certainties are expressed as quantitative probab...
| Asıl Yazarlar: | , , , |
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| Materyal Türü: | Makale |
| Dil: | English |
| Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: |
Cambridge University Press
2012-11-01
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| Seri Bilgileri: | Judgment and Decision Making |
| Konular: | |
| Online Erişim: | https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500003272/type/journal_article |