Infection dynamics of COVID-19 virus under lockdown and reopening

Abstract Motivated by COVID-19, we develop and analyze a simple stochastic model for the spread of disease in human population. We track how the number of infected and critically ill people develops over time in order to estimate the demand that is imposed on the hospital system. To keep this demand...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jakub Svoboda, Josef Tkadlec, Andreas Pavlogiannis, Krishnendu Chatterjee, Martin A. Nowak
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-01-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-05333-5