Against all Odds: Forecasting Brazilian Presidential Elections in times of political disruption

When the number of observed elections is low, subnational data can be used to perform electoral forecasts. Turgeon and Rennó (2012) applied this solution and proposed three forecasting models to analyze Brazilian presidential elections (1994-2006). The models, adapted from forecasting models of Amer...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Frederico Bertholini, Lucio Rennó, Mathieu Turgeon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ediciones Universidad de Salamanca 2022-06-01
Series:Revista Latinoamericana de Opinión Pública
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistas.usal.es/index.php/1852-9003/article/view/25882