Improvements to seismicity forecasting based on a Bayesian spatio-temporal ETAS model

Abstract The epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model provides an effective tool for predicting the spatio-temporal evolution of aftershock clustering in short-term. Based on this model, a fully probabilistic procedure was previously proposed by the first two authors for providing spatio-tempo...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hossein Ebrahimian, Fatemeh Jalayer, Behnam Maleki Asayesh, Sebastian Hainzl, Hamid Zafarani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-12-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-24080-1