Improvements to seismicity forecasting based on a Bayesian spatio-temporal ETAS model
Abstract The epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model provides an effective tool for predicting the spatio-temporal evolution of aftershock clustering in short-term. Based on this model, a fully probabilistic procedure was previously proposed by the first two authors for providing spatio-tempo...
Main Authors: | , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2022-12-01
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Series: | Scientific Reports |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-24080-1 |