A New Method to Compute Transition Probabilities in Multi‐Stable Stochastic Dynamical Systems: Application to the Wind‐Driven Ocean Circulation

A New Method to Compute Transition Probabilities in Multi‐Stable Stochastic Dynamical Systems: Application to the Wind‐Driven Ocean Circulation

Abstract The Kuroshio Current in the North Pacific displays path changes on an interannual‐to‐decadal time scale. In an idealized barotropic quasi‐geostrophic model of the double‐gyre wind‐driven circulation under stochastic wind‐stress forcing, such variability can occur due to transitions between...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: René M. vanWesten, Sourabh Kotnala, Sven Baars, Fred W. Wubs, Henk A. Dijkstra
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2023-05-01
Series:Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Subjects:
model order reduction techniques
wind‐driven ocean circulation
transition probabilities and paths
multi‐stable stochastic dynamical systems
numerical methods
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003456

Internet

https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003456

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