Can signal-to-noise ratio indicate prediction skill? Based on skill assessment of 1-month lead prediction of monthly temperature anomaly over Japan

We present a skill assessment of 1-month lead deterministic predictions of monthly surface air temperature anomalies over most part of Japan based on a large-ensemble climate model, SINTEX-F. We found that September is the most predictable and the only month in which the prediction skill beats the p...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Takeshi Doi, Masami Nonaka, Swadhin Behera
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-09-01
Series:Frontiers in Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2022.887782/full