Do U.S. economic conditions at the state level predict the realized volatility of oil-price returns? A quantile machine-learning approach

Abstract Because the U.S. is a major player in the international oil market, it is interesting to study whether aggregate and state-level economic conditions can predict the subsequent realized volatility of oil price returns. To address this research question, we frame our analysis in terms of vari...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Rangan Gupta, Christian Pierdzioch
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2023-01-01
Series:Financial Innovation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-022-00435-5