The US stock market leads the federal funds rate and treasury bond yields.

Using a recently introduced method to quantify the time-varying lead-lag dependencies between pairs of economic time series (the thermal optimal path method), we test two fundamental tenets of the theory of fixed income: (i) the stock market variations and the yield changes should be anti-correlated...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Main Authors: Kun Guo, Wei-Xing Zhou, Si-Wei Cheng, Didier Sornette
Format: Article
Sprog:English
Udgivet: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2011-01-01
Serier:PLoS ONE
Online adgang:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3154254?pdf=render