Time-dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model.

In this paper we calculate the variation of the estimated vaccine efficacy (VE) due to the time-dependent force of infection resulting from the difference between the moment the Clinical Trial (CT) begins and the peak in the outbreak intensity. Using a simple mathematical model we tested the hypothe...

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Main Authors: Jennifer Loria, Vinicius V L Albani, Francisco A B Coutinho, Dimas T Covas, Claudio J Struchiner, Jorge P Zubelli, Eduardo Massad
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2023-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0285466
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author Jennifer Loria
Vinicius V L Albani
Francisco A B Coutinho
Dimas T Covas
Claudio J Struchiner
Jorge P Zubelli
Eduardo Massad
author_facet Jennifer Loria
Vinicius V L Albani
Francisco A B Coutinho
Dimas T Covas
Claudio J Struchiner
Jorge P Zubelli
Eduardo Massad
author_sort Jennifer Loria
collection DOAJ
description In this paper we calculate the variation of the estimated vaccine efficacy (VE) due to the time-dependent force of infection resulting from the difference between the moment the Clinical Trial (CT) begins and the peak in the outbreak intensity. Using a simple mathematical model we tested the hypothesis that the time difference between the moment the CT begins and the peak in the outbreak intensity determines substantially different values for VE. We exemplify the method with the case of the VE efficacy estimation for one of the vaccines against the new coronavirus SARS-CoV-2.
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spelling doaj.art-523a3f375e59437193d357adad50a0372023-06-16T05:31:15ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032023-01-01185e028546610.1371/journal.pone.0285466Time-dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model.Jennifer LoriaVinicius V L AlbaniFrancisco A B CoutinhoDimas T CovasClaudio J StruchinerJorge P ZubelliEduardo MassadIn this paper we calculate the variation of the estimated vaccine efficacy (VE) due to the time-dependent force of infection resulting from the difference between the moment the Clinical Trial (CT) begins and the peak in the outbreak intensity. Using a simple mathematical model we tested the hypothesis that the time difference between the moment the CT begins and the peak in the outbreak intensity determines substantially different values for VE. We exemplify the method with the case of the VE efficacy estimation for one of the vaccines against the new coronavirus SARS-CoV-2.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0285466
spellingShingle Jennifer Loria
Vinicius V L Albani
Francisco A B Coutinho
Dimas T Covas
Claudio J Struchiner
Jorge P Zubelli
Eduardo Massad
Time-dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model.
PLoS ONE
title Time-dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model.
title_full Time-dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model.
title_fullStr Time-dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model.
title_full_unstemmed Time-dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model.
title_short Time-dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model.
title_sort time dependent vaccine efficacy estimation quantified by a mathematical model
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0285466
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