Understanding the dynamical mechanism of year-to-year incremental prediction by nonlinear time series prediction theory

Previous studies have shown that year-to-year incremental prediction (YIP) can obtain considerable skill in seasonal forecasts. This study analyzes the mathematical definition of YIP and derives its formula in the nonlinear time series prediction (NP) method. It is shown that the two methods are equ...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shu-Ting Bi, Peng-Fei Wang, Xin-Nong Pan, Chao-Fan Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2018-01-01
Series:Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2017.1345278