Quantile Regression Estimates of Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts

This study uses quantile regressions to estimate historical forecast error distributions for WASDE forecasts of corn, soybean, and wheat prices, and then compute confidence limits for the forecasts based on the empirical distributions. Quantile regressions with fit errors expressed as a function of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Olga Isengildina-Massa, Scott H. Irwin, Darrel L. Good
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Western Agricultural Economics Association 2010-12-01
Series:Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/99120