Quantile Regression Estimates of Confidence Intervals for WASDE Price Forecasts
This study uses quantile regressions to estimate historical forecast error distributions for WASDE forecasts of corn, soybean, and wheat prices, and then compute confidence limits for the forecasts based on the empirical distributions. Quantile regressions with fit errors expressed as a function of...
Main Authors: | , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Western Agricultural Economics Association
2010-12-01
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Series: | Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/99120 |