China’s uncertain demographic present and future

This paper applies methods of probabilistic population forecasting to assess the range of uncertainty of China’s future population trends. Unlike previous applications of probabilistic population projections that consider stochastic future fertility, mortality and migration, this paper will also acc...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Qiang Ren, Xiaoying Zheng, Gui Ying Cao, Sergei Scherbov, Wolfgang Lutz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Austrian Academy of Sciences Press 2007-12-01
Series:Vienna Yearbook of Population Research
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/publications/VYPR2007/Yearbook2007_Lutz-et-al_China_pp37-59.pdf