Aggregating multiple probability intervals to improve calibration

We apply the principles of the “Wisdom of Crowds (WoC)” to improve the calibration of interval estimates. Previous research has documented the significant impact of the WoC on the accuracy of point estimates but only a few studies have examined its effectiveness in aggregating interval estimates. We...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Saemi Park, David V. Budescu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2015-03-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500003910/type/journal_article