Verification Data and the Skill of Decadal Predictions

The utility of a forecast depends on its skill as demonstrated by past performance. For most forecasts errors rapidly become large compared to uncertainties in the observation-based state of the system and, for this reason, it is usually deemed adequate to assess predictions against a single verific...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: George J. Boer, Reinel Sospedra-Alfonso, Patrick Martineau, Viatsheslav V. Kharin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-03-01
Series:Frontiers in Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2022.836817/full