Additive Model Perturbations Scaled by Physical Tendencies for Use in Ensemble Prediction

Imperfections and uncertainties in forecast models are often represented in ensemble prediction systems by stochastic perturbations of model equations. In this article, we present a new technique to generate model perturbations. The technique is termed Additive Model-uncertainty perturbations scaled...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Michael Tsyrulnikov, Elena Astakhova, Dmitry Gayfulin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Stockholm University Press 2023-11-01
Series:Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
Subjects:
Online Access:https://account.a.tellusjournals.se/index.php/su-j-tadmo/article/view/3224