Evaluating probabilistic dengue risk forecasts from a prototype early warning system for Brazil

Evaluating probabilistic dengue risk forecasts from a prototype early warning system for Brazil

Recently, a prototype dengue early warning system was developed to produce probabilistic forecasts of dengue risk three months ahead of the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. Here, we evaluate the categorical dengue forecasts across all microregions in Brazil, using dengue cases reported in June 2014 to vali...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Rachel Lowe, Caio AS Coelho, Christovam Barcellos, Marilia Sá Carvalho, Rafael De Castro Catão, Giovanini E Coelho, Walter Massa Ramalho, Trevor C Bailey, David B Stephenson, Xavier Rodó
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: eLife Sciences Publications Ltd 2016-02-01
Series:eLife
Subjects:
dengue
climate
probabilistic
model
early warning system
evaluation
Online Access:https://elifesciences.org/articles/11285

Internet

https://elifesciences.org/articles/11285

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