The Sure-Thing Principle

In 1954, Jim Savage introduced the Sure Thing Principle to demonstrate that preferences among actions could constitute an axiomatic basis for a Bayesian foundation of statistical inference. Here, we trace the history of the principle, discuss some of its nuances, and evaluate its significance in the...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Pearl Judea
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: De Gruyter 2016-03-01
Series:Journal of Causal Inference
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/jci-2016-0005