Windows of opportunity for predicting seasonal climate extremes highlighted by the Pakistan floods of 2022
Abstract Skilful predictions of near-term climate extremes are key to a resilient society. However, standard methods of analysing seasonal forecasts are not optimised to identify the rarer and most impactful extremes. For example, standard tercile probability maps, used in real-time regional climate...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2023-10-01
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Series: | Nature Communications |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42377-1 |