Windows of opportunity for predicting seasonal climate extremes highlighted by the Pakistan floods of 2022

Abstract Skilful predictions of near-term climate extremes are key to a resilient society. However, standard methods of analysing seasonal forecasts are not optimised to identify the rarer and most impactful extremes. For example, standard tercile probability maps, used in real-time regional climate...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Nick Dunstone, Doug M. Smith, Steven C. Hardiman, Paul Davies, Sarah Ineson, Shipra Jain, Chris Kent, Gill Martin, Adam A. Scaife
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-10-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-42377-1