Why polls fail to predict elections

Abstract In the past decade we have witnessed the failure of traditional polls in predicting presidential election outcomes across the world. To understand the reasons behind these failures we analyze the raw data of a trusted pollster which failed to predict, along with the rest of the pollsters, t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zhenkun Zhou, Matteo Serafino, Luciano Cohan, Guido Caldarelli, Hernán A. Makse
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2021-10-01
Series:Journal of Big Data
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-021-00525-8