Testing the ability of the surprisingly popular method to predict NFL games

We consider the recently-developed “surprisingly popular” method for aggregating decisions across a group of people (Prelec, Seung and McCoy, 2017). The method has shown impressive performance in a range of decision-making situations, but typically for situations in which the correct answer is alrea...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Michael D. Lee, Irina Danileiko, Julie Vi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2018-07-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500009207/type/journal_article