Opinion Dynamics Explain Price Formation in Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are heralded as powerful forecasting tools, but models that describe them often fail to capture the full complexity of the underlying mechanisms that drive price dynamics. To address this issue, we propose a model in which agents belong to a social network, have an opinion about t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Valerio Restocchi, Frank McGroarty, Enrico Gerding, Markus Brede
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/25/8/1152