Robust qualitative estimation of time-varying contact rates in uncertain epidemics

We will inevitably face new epidemics where the lack of long time-series data and the uncertainty about the outbreak dynamics make difficult to obtain quantitative predictions. Here we present an algorithm to qualitatively infer time-varying contact rates from short time-series data, letting us pred...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Marco Tulio Angulo, Jorge X. Velasco-Hernandez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2018-09-01
Series:Epidemics
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436517300750