Robust qualitative estimation of time-varying contact rates in uncertain epidemics
We will inevitably face new epidemics where the lack of long time-series data and the uncertainty about the outbreak dynamics make difficult to obtain quantitative predictions. Here we present an algorithm to qualitatively infer time-varying contact rates from short time-series data, letting us pred...
Main Authors: | Marco Tulio Angulo, Jorge X. Velasco-Hernandez |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Elsevier
2018-09-01
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Series: | Epidemics |
Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436517300750 |
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