Research on the impact of investor sentiment on stock market returns based on VAR and EGARCH(基于VAR和EGARCH的投资者情绪对股市收益率的影响研究)

借鉴国内外已有成果,用主成分分析法将2个主观指标与4个客观指标相结合,形成一个能有效衡量投资者情绪的综合指标,其能反映6个原始指标的大部分信息,且与股市收益率显著相关。在研究投资者情绪波动和股市收益率波动时,用向量自回归(vector autoregression,VAR)模型探索了二者间的关系;考虑证券市场信息的不对称性,运用了指数广义自回归条件异方差(exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity,EGARCH)模型。研究表明,投资者消极悲观情绪对股市收益率的冲击作用大于积极乐观情绪;投资者情绪受收...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: 高振斌(GAO Zhenbin)
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Zhejiang University Press 2023-07-01
Series:Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2023.04.007