Machine learning based customer churn prediction in home appliance rental business

Abstract Customer churn is a major issue for large enterprises. In particular, in the rental business sector, companies are looking for ways to retain their customers because they are their main source of revenue. The main contribution of our work is to analyze the customer behavior information of a...

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Main Author: Youngjung Suh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2023-04-01
Series:Journal of Big Data
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-023-00721-8
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author Youngjung Suh
author_facet Youngjung Suh
author_sort Youngjung Suh
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Customer churn is a major issue for large enterprises. In particular, in the rental business sector, companies are looking for ways to retain their customers because they are their main source of revenue. The main contribution of our work is to analyze the customer behavior information of actual water purifier rental company, where customer churn occurs very frequently, and to develop and verify the churn prediction model. A machine learning algorithm was applied to a large-capacity operating dataset of rental care service in an electronics company in Korea, to learn meaningful features. To measure the performance of the model, the F-measure and area under curve (AUC) were adopted whereby an F1 value of 93% and an AUC of 88% were achieved. The dataset containing approximately 84,000 customers was used for training and testing. Another contribution was to evaluate the inference performance of the predictive model using the contract status of about 250,000 customer data currently in operation, confirming a hit rate of about 80%. Finally, this study identified and calculated the influence of key variables on individual customer churn to enable a business person (rental care customer management staff) to carry out customer-tailored marketing to address the cause of the churn.
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spelling doaj.art-895997b5822b4cb2bf5297e76f4f07472023-04-09T11:18:54ZengSpringerOpenJournal of Big Data2196-11152023-04-0110113510.1186/s40537-023-00721-8Machine learning based customer churn prediction in home appliance rental businessYoungjung Suh0LG Electronics IncAbstract Customer churn is a major issue for large enterprises. In particular, in the rental business sector, companies are looking for ways to retain their customers because they are their main source of revenue. The main contribution of our work is to analyze the customer behavior information of actual water purifier rental company, where customer churn occurs very frequently, and to develop and verify the churn prediction model. A machine learning algorithm was applied to a large-capacity operating dataset of rental care service in an electronics company in Korea, to learn meaningful features. To measure the performance of the model, the F-measure and area under curve (AUC) were adopted whereby an F1 value of 93% and an AUC of 88% were achieved. The dataset containing approximately 84,000 customers was used for training and testing. Another contribution was to evaluate the inference performance of the predictive model using the contract status of about 250,000 customer data currently in operation, confirming a hit rate of about 80%. Finally, this study identified and calculated the influence of key variables on individual customer churn to enable a business person (rental care customer management staff) to carry out customer-tailored marketing to address the cause of the churn.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-023-00721-8Big data applicationsCustomer churn predictionMachine learningChurn in rental businessFeature selectionCustomer retention management
spellingShingle Youngjung Suh
Machine learning based customer churn prediction in home appliance rental business
Journal of Big Data
Big data applications
Customer churn prediction
Machine learning
Churn in rental business
Feature selection
Customer retention management
title Machine learning based customer churn prediction in home appliance rental business
title_full Machine learning based customer churn prediction in home appliance rental business
title_fullStr Machine learning based customer churn prediction in home appliance rental business
title_full_unstemmed Machine learning based customer churn prediction in home appliance rental business
title_short Machine learning based customer churn prediction in home appliance rental business
title_sort machine learning based customer churn prediction in home appliance rental business
topic Big data applications
Customer churn prediction
Machine learning
Churn in rental business
Feature selection
Customer retention management
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-023-00721-8
work_keys_str_mv AT youngjungsuh machinelearningbasedcustomerchurnpredictioninhomeappliancerentalbusiness