Shrinking the Variance in Experts’ “Classical” Weights Used in Expert Judgment Aggregation
Mathematical aggregation of probabilistic expert judgments often involves weighted linear combinations of experts’ elicited probability distributions of uncertain quantities. Experts’ weights are commonly derived from calibration experiments based on the experts’ performance scores, where performanc...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2023-08-01
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| Series: | Forecasting |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2571-9394/5/3/29 |