Forecasting forecaster accuracy: Contributions of past performance and individual differences

A growing body of research indicates that forecasting skill is a unique and stable trait: forecasters with a track record of high accuracy tend to maintain this record. But how does one identify skilled forecasters effectively? We address this question using data collected during two seasons of a lo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mark Himmelstein, Pavel Atanasov, David V. Budescu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2021-03-01
Series:Judgment and Decision Making
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1930297500008597/type/journal_article