Estimating the probability of stock market crashes for Bucharest Stock Exchange using stable distributions

In this study we analyse the evolution of BET Bucharest Stock Exchange through an AR-GARCH model and we estimate the likelihood of extreme events using stable distributions. Using the time series of the Bucharest Stock Exchange main index BET we argue that stable distributions can significantly impr...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Daniel Traian PELE
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: General Association of Economists from Romania 2012-07-01
Series:Theoretical and Applied Economics
Subjects:
Online Access: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/746.pdf