On the predictability of outliers in ensemble forecasts
In numerical weather prediction, ensembles are used to retrieve probabilistic forecasts of future weather conditions. We consider events where the verification is smaller than the smallest, or larger than the largest ensemble member of a scalar ensemble forecast. These events are called outliers. In...
Main Authors: | S. Siegert, J. Bröcker, H. Kantz |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Copernicus Publications
2012-03-01
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Series: | Advances in Science and Research |
Online Access: | http://www.adv-sci-res.net/8/53/2012/asr-8-53-2012.pdf |
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