Analysis on Abnormal Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Error of Ecmwf-Ifs in the Western North Pacific

ABSTRACT: By considering distance error and direction error, Tropical Cyclone (TC) track forecasts with abnormal forecast error (AFE) at lead time of 48 h by ECMWF-IFS are selected out from 2010 to 2013. Factors closely related to AFE cases are investigated. There are 7 factors which are closely rel...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Wei Xu, Liangbo Qi, Yugang Du, Li Xia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2016-02-01
Series:Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603218301413